Match preview
Goias vs Londrina prediction
Goias
9 in the table · 29 pts from 20
Londrina
17 in the table · 20 pts from 20
Mon, Aug 10, 06:30 PM
Goiania
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Goias the more likely winner at 56%, against 18% for Londrina and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 48%. Behind that: Goias have scored in 14 of 20 league games this season, Londrina in 13 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Goias win
56%
Draw
26%
Londrina win
18%
What our model expects
Anchored to the de-vigged consensus of 38 bookmakers, then expanded into the full picture they don't publish: every scoreline, both teams to score, clean sheets. We tested our own goal model against the market over 1,420 matches and the market won, so this starts from the sharper number. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.7 – 0.9
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Goias clean sheet
42%
Londrina clean sheet
18%
What stands out
Fouls 24.4
16% above a typical match · League average 21
Goias 12.3 + Londrina 12.1 per game
match.offsides 4
14% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Goias 2.3 + Londrina 1.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Bruno Santos
Londrina
23%
Shots
Iago Teles
Londrina
2
Goias · on target
E. García
Goias
1.2
Londrina · on target
Bruno Santos
Londrina
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Goias
At home- 1.78
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.22
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 20
- Clean sheet in 44%
When their goals arrive
Londrina
Away- 0.8
- pts/game
- 1.2
- scored
- 1.7
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 20
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Goias · Recent form
- L0-1America Mineiro
- D1-1Sport Recife
- W2-1Ponte Preta
- D2-2CRB
- W2-0Ceara
Londrina · Recent form
- L1-4Novorizontino
- L1-2Nautico Recife
- D0-0Botafogo SP
- D1-1America Mineiro
- W5-0CRB
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Goias vs Londrina?
Golazo's model makes Goias the more likely winner at 56%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Goias vs Londrina?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Goias vs Londrina?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 48%, and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.