Match preview
Avai vs CRB prediction
Avai
CRB
Avai
18 in the table · 20 pts from 20
CRB
8 in the table · 29 pts from 20
Tue, Aug 11, 06:30 PM
Ressacada
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Avai 39%, the draw 26%, CRB 35%. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 62%. Behind that: Avai have scored in 14 of 20 league games this season, CRB in 16 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Avai win
39%
Draw
26%
CRB win
35%
What our model expects
AvaiPer gameCRBNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.5
Total goals 3.1
Both teams score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Avai clean sheet
23%
CRB clean sheet
21%
What stands out
Total goals 3.1
13% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Avai 1.3 scored / 1.3 conceded · CRB 1.5 / 1.3 per game
Fouls 23.9
14% above a typical match · League average 21
Avai 12.2 + CRB 11.7 per game
Offsides 4.1
16% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Avai 2.6 + CRB 1.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Mikael
CRB
40%
Shots
Mikael
CRB
2.8
Avai · on target
Daniel Penha
Avai
0.8
CRB · on target
Mikael
CRB
1.5
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Avai
At home- 1.5
- pts/game
- 1.2
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 20
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
CRB
Away- 1.5
- pts/game
- 1.3
- scored
- 1.8
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 20
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
Avai · Recent form
- L0-1Juventude
- W2-1America Mineiro
- D1-1São Bernardo
- W2-0Nautico Recife
- L1-3Botafogo SP
CRB · Recent form
- W2-0Vila Nova
- W1-0Ceara
- W2-1Nautico Recife
- D2-2Goias
- L0-5Londrina
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Avai vs CRB?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Avai 39%, the draw 26%, CRB 35%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Avai vs CRB?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Avai vs CRB?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 62%, and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.