Match preview
Vila Nova vs Sport Recife prediction
Vila Nova
5 in the table · 34 pts from 20
Sport Recife
10 in the table · 29 pts from 20
Sat, Aug 8, 03:00 PM
Brasileirão Série B
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Vila Nova 36%, the draw 29%, Sport Recife 35%. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Vila Nova win
36%
Draw
29%
Sport Recife win
35%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.3
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Vila Nova clean sheet
27%
Sport Recife clean sheet
27%
What stands out
match.offsides 2.5
29% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Vila Nova 1.6 + Sport Recife 0.9 per game
Fouls 26.5
26% above a typical match · League average 21
Vila Nova 13.5 + Sport Recife 13.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Perotti
Sport Recife
29%
Shots
Perotti
Sport Recife
2.1
Vila Nova · on target
Rafa Silva
Vila Nova
0.9
Sport Recife · on target
Perotti
Sport Recife
1.1
Vila Nova · Recent form
- L0-2CRB
- W2-1Fortaleza EC
- L0-2Criciuma
- L0-1Juventude
- W2-1São Bernardo
Sport Recife · Recent form
- D1-1Cuiaba
- D1-1Goias
- D2-2Operario-PR
- D3-3Botafogo SP
- L0-1Criciuma
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Vila Nova vs Sport Recife?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Vila Nova 36%, the draw 29%, Sport Recife 35%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Vila Nova vs Sport Recife?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Vila Nova vs Sport Recife?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.