Match preview
Novorizontino vs Juventude prediction
Novorizontino
6 in the table · 33 pts from 20
Juventude
2 in the table · 35 pts from 20
Sun, Aug 9, 03:00 PM
Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Novorizontino the more likely winner at 45%, against 24% for Juventude and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 44%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Novorizontino win
45%
Draw
31%
Juventude win
24%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 0.9
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
Novorizontino clean sheet
42%
Juventude clean sheet
27%
What stands out
Fouls 26.8
28% above a typical match · League average 21
Novorizontino 12.0 + Juventude 14.8 per game
Total goals 2.2
19% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Novorizontino 1.5 scored / 1.1 conceded · Juventude 1.1 / 1.0 per game
match.offsides 3.1
12% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Novorizontino 1.3 + Juventude 1.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Robson
Novorizontino
29%
Shots
Juninho
Novorizontino
2.1
Novorizontino · on target
Juninho
Novorizontino
0.9
Juventude · on target
Marcos Paulo
Juventude
0.9
Novorizontino · Recent form
- W4-1Londrina
- L0-1Criciuma
- L0-1Fortaleza EC
- L1-2Operario-PR
- W3-0Atletico Goianiense
Juventude · Recent form
- L0-1Atletico-MG
- D0-0Atletico-MG
- W1-0Avai
- L2-4Botafogo SP
- W2-0Cuiaba
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Novorizontino vs Juventude?
Golazo's model makes Novorizontino the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Novorizontino vs Juventude?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Novorizontino vs Juventude?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 44%, and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.