Match preview
Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro prediction
Botafogo SP
15 in the table · 24 pts from 20
America Mineiro
19 in the table · 11 pts from 20
Sat, Aug 8, 05:30 PM
Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Botafogo SP the more likely winner at 58%, against 15% for America Mineiro and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 43%. Behind that: Botafogo SP have scored in 12 of 20 league games this season, America Mineiro in 12 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Botafogo SP win
58%
Draw
26%
America Mineiro win
15%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.7 – 0.7
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Botafogo SP clean sheet
48%
America Mineiro clean sheet
19%
What stands out
Fouls 28.3
35% above a typical match · League average 21
Botafogo SP 15.8 + America Mineiro 12.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Hygor
Botafogo SP
32%
Shots
Everton Morelli
Botafogo SP
1.7
Botafogo SP · on target
Léo Gamalho
Botafogo SP
1
America Mineiro · on target
Paulo Victor
America Mineiro
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Botafogo SP
At home- 1.56
- pts/game
- 1.89
- scored
- 1.22
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 20
- Clean sheet in 11%
When their goals arrive
America Mineiro
Away- 0.5
- pts/game
- 0.7
- scored
- 1.7
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 20
- Clean sheet in 10%
When their goals arrive
Botafogo SP · Recent form
- L0-1Fortaleza EC
- W4-2Juventude
- D0-0Londrina
- D3-3Sport Recife
- W3-1Avai
America Mineiro · Recent form
- W1-0Goias
- L1-2Avai
- D1-1Ceara
- D1-1Londrina
- L0-1Cuiaba
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro?
Golazo's model makes Botafogo SP the more likely winner at 58%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 43%, and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.