Match preview
Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara Chivas
Santos Laguna
17 in the table · 0 pts from 3
Guadalajara Chivas
12 in the table · 4 pts from 3
Sun, Aug 16, 09:10 PM
Estadio Corona
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Guadalajara Chivas the more likely winner at 47%, against 26% for Santos Laguna and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: Santos Laguna have scored in 1 of 3 league games this season, Guadalajara Chivas in 2 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Santos Laguna win
26%
Draw
28%
Guadalajara Chivas win
47%
What our model expects
Santos LagunaPer gameGuadalajara ChivasBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.6
Total goals 2.7
Both teams score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Santos Laguna clean sheet
21%
Guadalajara Chivas clean sheet
33%
What stands out
Cards 3.9
14% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Santos Laguna 2.1 + Guadalajara Chivas 1.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
R. Alvarado
Guadalajara Chivas
30%
Shots
R. Alvarado
Guadalajara Chivas
1.9
Santos Laguna · on target
E. Bullaude
Santos Laguna
0.8
Guadalajara Chivas · on target
R. Alvarado
Guadalajara Chivas
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Santos Laguna
At home- 0
- pts/game
- 0
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 1 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Guadalajara Chivas
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Santos Laguna · Recent form
- W2-0Philadelphia Union
- L1-3Chicago Fire
- L0-2New York City FC
- L0-3Club America
- L0-1Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas · Recent form
- W2-1Seattle Sounders
- L0-1FC Dallas
- D1-1Los Angeles FC
- D1-1Puebla
- W1-0FC Juarez
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Golazo's model makes Guadalajara Chivas the more likely winner at 47%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
More Liga MX matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.