Match preview
Atlas vs Tigres UANL prediction
Atlas
Tigres UANL
Atlas
9 in the table · 6 pts from 3
Tigres UANL
16 in the table · 1 pts from 3
Sat, Aug 15, 11:10 PM
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Tigres UANL the more likely winner at 41%, against 26% for Atlas and 33% for the draw. It projects 2 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 41%. Behind that: Atlas have scored in 2 of 3 league games this season, Tigres UANL in 3 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Atlas win
26%
Draw
33%
Tigres UANL win
41%
What our model expects
AtlasPer gameTigres UANLBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.2
Total goals 2
Both teams score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Over 1.5 goals
61%
Atlas clean sheet
32%
Tigres UANL clean sheet
42%
What stands out
Total goals 2
25% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Atlas 0.9 scored / 1.3 conceded · Tigres UANL 1.3 / 1.2 per game
Offsides 3
14% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Atlas 2.0 + Tigres UANL 1.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
R. Aguirre
Tigres UANL
20%
Shots
O. Herrera
Tigres UANL
1.9
Atlas · on target
A. González
Atlas
0.6
Tigres UANL · on target
A. Gignac
Tigres UANL
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Atlas
At home- 0
- pts/game
- 0
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Tigres UANL
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 3
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Atlas · Recent form
- W2-1FC Cincinnati
- L0-2Charlotte
- L1-3Columbus Crew
- L0-2Monterrey
- W1-0Santos Laguna
Tigres UANL · Recent form
- D1-1Vancouver Whitecaps
- D0-0Minnesota United FC
- D1-1Real Salt Lake
- L2-3Club Queretaro
- D2-2Atletico San Luis
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Atlas vs Tigres UANL?
Golazo's model makes Tigres UANL the more likely winner at 41%, with the draw at 33%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Atlas vs Tigres UANL?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 15%. The model projects 2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Atlas vs Tigres UANL?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 41%, and over 2.5 goals at 33%.
More Liga MX matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.