Match preview

Club America vs Atletico San Luis prediction

Club America
v
Atletico San Luis
532522
Club AmericaDrawAtletico San Luis
Goals expectedBoth teams score57%Over 2.5 goals56%Total goals2.9
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Club America

1 in the table · 7 pts from 3

Atletico San Luis

15 in the table · 2 pts from 3

Sun, Aug 16, 07:00 PM

Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Club America the more likely winner at 53%, against 22% for Atletico San Luis and 25% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 57%. Behind that: Club America have scored in 3 of 3 league games this season, Atletico San Luis in 2 of 3.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Club America win

53%

Draw

25%

Atletico San Luis win

22%

Most likely scorelines1–112%2–110%2–09%

What our model expects

Club AmericaPer gameAtletico San Luis
WWWDWLast 5DLLDD
0.0Conceded2.0
3.00Points per game1.00
1.8Expected goals1.1
3.0Scored2.0
2.3Cards1.8
16.5Shots13.0
5.6Corners4.5
50Possession50

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.8 – 1.1

Total goals 2.9

Both teams score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Over 1.5 goals

80%

Club America clean sheet

33%

Atletico San Luis clean sheet

16%

Corners

League average 5

Club America5.6
Atletico San Luis4.5

Cards

League average 2.25

Club America2.3
Atletico San Luis1.8

Shots

League average 12.5

Club America16.5
Atletico San Luis13

Possession

Club America50
Atletico San Luis50

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

B. Rodríguez

Club America

30%

Shots

I. Violante

Club America

1.9

Club America · on target

B. Rodríguez

Club America

0.9

Atletico San Luis · on target

D. Rodríguez

Atletico San Luis

0.7

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Club America

At home
3
pts/game
3
scored
0
conceded
  • Scored in 3 of 3
  • Clean sheet in 100%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Atletico San Luis

Away
1
pts/game
2
scored
2
conceded
  • Scored in 2 of 3
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Club America · Recent form

  • W3-1Portland Timbers
  • W3-1San Diego
  • W3-0Santos Laguna
  • D1-1Atlante FC
  • W1-0Club Queretaro

Atletico San Luis · Recent form

  • D2-2Orlando City SC
  • L1-4Nashville SC
  • L2-4Inter Miami
  • D0-0Club Tijuana
  • D2-2Tigres UANL

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

See the full recordHow it works

Common questions

Who will win Club America vs Atletico San Luis?

Golazo's model makes Club America the more likely winner at 53%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Club America vs Atletico San Luis?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Club America vs Atletico San Luis?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 57%, and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

More Liga MX matches

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.