Match preview

Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul prediction

Club Tijuana
v
Cruz Azul
362935
Club TijuanaDrawCruz Azul
Goals expectedBoth teams score54%Over 2.5 goals48%Total goals2.6
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Club Tijuana

2 in the table · 7 pts from 3

Cruz Azul

6 in the table · 6 pts from 3

Sun, Aug 16, 11:00 PM

Estadio Caliente, Tijuana

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: Club Tijuana 36%, the draw 29%, Cruz Azul 35%. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: Club Tijuana have scored in 2 of 3 league games this season, Cruz Azul in 3 of 3.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Club Tijuana win

36%

Draw

29%

Cruz Azul win

35%

Most likely scorelines1114%009%108%

What our model expects

Club TijuanaPer gameCruz Azul
LLDWWLast 5LWWLW
0.5Conceded2.0
2.0Scored3.0
45Possession55
4.4Corners4.9
13.2Shots14.3
2.1Cards2.0
1.3Expected goals1.3
3.00Points per game3.00

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.3 1.3

Total goals 2.6

Both teams score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Over 1.5 goals

74%

Club Tijuana clean sheet

27%

Cruz Azul clean sheet

27%

Corners

League average 5

Club Tijuana4.4
Cruz Azul4.9

Cards

League average 2.25

Club Tijuana2.1
Cruz Azul2

Shots

League average 12.5

Club Tijuana13.2
Cruz Azul14.3

Possession

Club Tijuana45
Cruz Azul55

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

L. Romero

Cruz Azul

27%

Shots

G. Fernández

Cruz Azul

2.6

Club Tijuana · on target

Mourad

Club Tijuana

0.7

Cruz Azul · on target

G. Fernández

Cruz Azul

1.3

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Club Tijuana

At home
3
pts/game
2
scored
0.5
conceded
  • Scored in 2 of 3
  • Clean sheet in 50%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Cruz Azul

Away
3
pts/game
3
scored
2
conceded
  • Scored in 3 of 3
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Club Tijuana · Recent form

  • L0-1San Diego
  • L0-2Austin
  • D0-0Atletico San Luis
  • W1-0Leon
  • W3-1Tigres UANL

Cruz Azul · Recent form

  • L1-2Chicago Fire
  • W2-1New York City FC
  • W1-0Philadelphia Union
  • L2-3Atlante FC
  • W3-1Toluca

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Club Tijuana 36%, the draw 29%, Cruz Azul 35%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

More Liga MX matches

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.