Match preview
Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul prediction
Club Tijuana
Cruz AzulClub Tijuana
2 in the table · 7 pts from 3
Cruz Azul
6 in the table · 6 pts from 3
Sun, Aug 16, 11:00 PM
Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Club Tijuana 36%, the draw 29%, Cruz Azul 35%. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: Club Tijuana have scored in 2 of 3 league games this season, Cruz Azul in 3 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Club Tijuana win
36%
Draw
29%
Cruz Azul win
35%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.3
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Club Tijuana clean sheet
27%
Cruz Azul clean sheet
27%
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
L. Romero
Cruz Azul
27%
Shots
G. Fernández
Cruz Azul
2.6
Club Tijuana · on target
Mourad
Club Tijuana
0.7
Cruz Azul · on target
G. Fernández
Cruz Azul
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Club Tijuana
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 0.5
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 3
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Cruz Azul
Away- 3
- pts/game
- 3
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Club Tijuana · Recent form
- L0-1San Diego
- L0-2Austin
- D0-0Atletico San Luis
- W1-0Leon
- W3-1Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul · Recent form
- L1-2Chicago Fire
- W2-1New York City FC
- W1-0Philadelphia Union
- L2-3Atlante FC
- W3-1Toluca
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Club Tijuana 36%, the draw 29%, Cruz Azul 35%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.