Match preview

Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas prediction

Real Salt Lake
v
FC Dallas
402634
Real Salt LakeDrawFC Dallas
Goals expectedBoth teams score63%Over 2.5 goals60%Total goals3.1
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Real Salt Lake

5 in the table · 27 pts from 17

FC Dallas

6 in the table · 27 pts from 18

Wed, Aug 19, 09:30 PM

America First Field, Sandy

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Real Salt Lake the more likely winner at 40%, against 34% for FC Dallas and 26% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 63%. Behind that: Real Salt Lake have scored in 15 of 17 league games this season, FC Dallas in 13 of 18.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Real Salt Lake win

40%

Draw

26%

FC Dallas win

34%

Most likely scorelines1112%219%128%

What our model expects

Real Salt LakePer gameFC Dallas
WWDDLLast 5LWWDL
2.63Points per game1.56
2.3Scored1.6
2.2Cards2.5
53Possession47
5.6Corners5.0
12.5Shots11.3
1.6Expected goals1.5
1.0Conceded1.0

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.6 1.5

Total goals 3.1

Both teams score

63%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

Over 1.5 goals

83%

Real Salt Lake clean sheet

22%

FC Dallas clean sheet

20%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.1

    15% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Real Salt Lake 1.9 scored / 1.3 conceded · FC Dallas 1.6 / 1.3 per game

  • Fouls 24.2

    15% above a typical match · League average 21

    Real Salt Lake 11.7 + FC Dallas 12.5 per game

Corners

League average 5

Real Salt Lake5.6
FC Dallas5

Cards

League average 2.25

Real Salt Lake2.2
FC Dallas2.5

Shots

League average 12.5

Real Salt Lake12.5
FC Dallas11.3

Possession

Real Salt Lake53
FC Dallas47

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

P. Musa

FC Dallas

39%

Shots

P. Musa

FC Dallas

2.5

Real Salt Lake · on target

S. Solans

Real Salt Lake

1.2

FC Dallas · on target

P. Musa

FC Dallas

1.4

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Real Salt Lake

At home
2.63
pts/game
2.25
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 15 of 17
  • Clean sheet in 25%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

FC Dallas

Away
1.56
pts/game
1.56
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 18
  • Clean sheet in 33%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Real Salt Lake · Recent form

  • W3-0FC Juarez
  • W4-0Atlante FC
  • D1-1Tigres UANL
  • D1-1St. Louis City
  • L1-2Portland Timbers

FC Dallas · Recent form

  • L1-3Toluca
  • W1-0Guadalajara Chivas
  • W2-0Club Queretaro
  • D0-0Los Angeles Galaxy
  • L0-1San Diego

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

Golazo's model makes Real Salt Lake the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 63%, and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

More MLS matches

All MLS fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.