Match preview
Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas prediction
Real Salt Lake
FC DallasReal Salt Lake
5 in the table · 27 pts from 17
FC Dallas
6 in the table · 27 pts from 18
Wed, Aug 19, 09:30 PM
America First Field, Sandy
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Real Salt Lake the more likely winner at 40%, against 34% for FC Dallas and 26% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 63%. Behind that: Real Salt Lake have scored in 15 of 17 league games this season, FC Dallas in 13 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Real Salt Lake win
40%
Draw
26%
FC Dallas win
34%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.5
Total goals 3.1
Both teams score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Real Salt Lake clean sheet
22%
FC Dallas clean sheet
20%
What stands out
Total goals 3.1
15% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Real Salt Lake 1.9 scored / 1.3 conceded · FC Dallas 1.6 / 1.3 per game
Fouls 24.2
15% above a typical match · League average 21
Real Salt Lake 11.7 + FC Dallas 12.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
P. Musa
FC Dallas
39%
Shots
P. Musa
FC Dallas
2.5
Real Salt Lake · on target
S. Solans
Real Salt Lake
1.2
FC Dallas · on target
P. Musa
FC Dallas
1.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Real Salt Lake
At home- 2.63
- pts/game
- 2.25
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 17
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
FC Dallas
Away- 1.56
- pts/game
- 1.56
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 18
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Real Salt Lake · Recent form
- W3-0FC Juarez
- W4-0Atlante FC
- D1-1Tigres UANL
- D1-1St. Louis City
- L1-2Portland Timbers
FC Dallas · Recent form
- L1-3Toluca
- W1-0Guadalajara Chivas
- W2-0Club Queretaro
- D0-0Los Angeles Galaxy
- L0-1San Diego
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?
Golazo's model makes Real Salt Lake the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 63%, and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
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- Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FCAug 15
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.