Match preview
Portland Timbers vs San Diego prediction
Portland Timbers
San Diego
Portland Timbers
8 in the table · 24 pts from 18
San Diego
13 in the table · 21 pts from 18
Wed, Aug 19, 10:30 PM
Providence Park, Portland
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Portland Timbers the more likely winner at 45%, against 32% for San Diego and 23% for the draw. It projects 3.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 71%. Behind that: Portland Timbers have scored in 14 of 18 league games this season, San Diego in 15 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Portland Timbers win
45%
Draw
23%
San Diego win
32%
What our model expects
Portland TimbersPer gameSan DiegoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2 – 1.7
Total goals 3.7
Both teams score
71%
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Portland Timbers clean sheet
19%
San Diego clean sheet
14%
What stands out
Total goals 3.7
36% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Portland Timbers 1.9 scored / 1.8 conceded · San Diego 1.4 / 1.8 per game
Offsides 3.9
12% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Portland Timbers 1.7 + San Diego 2.2 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
K. Kelsy
Portland Timbers
38%
Shots
K. Kelsy
Portland Timbers
2.3
Portland Timbers · on target
K. Kelsy
Portland Timbers
1.1
San Diego · on target
A. Dreyer
San Diego
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Portland Timbers
At home- 1.89
- pts/game
- 2.22
- scored
- 1.67
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 18
- Clean sheet in 11%
When their goals arrive
San Diego
Away- 0.75
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.75
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 18
- Clean sheet in 13%
When their goals arrive
Portland Timbers · Recent form
- W3-1Club Tijuana
- L1-3Club America
- W5-2Puebla
- W2-1Seattle Sounders
- W2-1Real Salt Lake
San Diego · Recent form
- W3-2Puebla
- W1-0Club Tijuana
- L1-3Club America
- D1-1Minnesota United FC
- W1-0FC Dallas
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Portland Timbers vs San Diego?
Golazo's model makes Portland Timbers the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Portland Timbers vs San Diego?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 9%. The model projects 3.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Portland Timbers vs San Diego?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 71%, and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.