Match preview
Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami prediction
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Wed, Aug 19, 07:30 PM
Subaru Park, Philadelphia
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Inter Miami the more likely winner at 49%, against 29% for Philadelphia Union and 22% for the draw. It projects 3.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 72%. Behind that: Philadelphia Union have scored in 13 of 18 league games this season, Inter Miami in 16 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Philadelphia Union win
29%
Draw
22%
Inter Miami win
49%
What our model expects
Philadelphia UnionPer gameInter MiamiNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 2.2
Total goals 3.8
Both teams score
72%
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Philadelphia Union clean sheet
12%
Inter Miami clean sheet
19%
What stands out
Total goals 3.8
41% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Philadelphia Union 1.4 scored / 1.7 conceded · Inter Miami 2.2 / 1.6 per game
Offsides 3
14% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Philadelphia Union 1.5 + Inter Miami 1.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
L. Messi
Inter Miami
46%
Shots
L. Messi
Inter Miami
3.2
Philadelphia Union · on target
M. Iloski
Philadelphia Union
1.1
Inter Miami · on target
L. Messi
Inter Miami
1.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Philadelphia Union
At home- 1.33
- pts/game
- 1.11
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 18
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Inter Miami
Away- 2.5
- pts/game
- 2.4
- scored
- 1.5
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 18
- Clean sheet in 30%
When their goals arrive
Philadelphia Union · Recent form
- L0-2Santos Laguna
- W3-1Necaxa
- L0-1Cruz Azul
- W3-2Atlanta United FC
- W1-0Seattle Sounders
Inter Miami · Recent form
- L2-3Leon
- L1-2Monterrey
- W4-2Atletico San Luis
- D2-2Columbus Crew
- W1-0CF Montreal
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?
Golazo's model makes Inter Miami the more likely winner at 49%, with the draw at 22%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 9%. The model projects 3.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 72%, and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
More MLS matches
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- CF Montreal vs DC UnitedAug 15
- Nashville SC vs Inter MiamiAug 15
- Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles GalaxyAug 15
- Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FCAug 15
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.