Match preview
Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire prediction
Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
Wed, Aug 19, 07:30 PM
Exploria Stadium, Orlando
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Chicago Fire the more likely winner at 49%, against 28% for Orlando City SC and 23% for the draw. It projects 3.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 69%. Behind that: Orlando City SC have scored in 14 of 19 league games this season, Chicago Fire in 16 of 17.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Orlando City SC win
28%
Draw
23%
Chicago Fire win
49%
What our model expects
Orlando City SCPer gameChicago FireNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 2
Total goals 3.6
Both teams score
69%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Orlando City SC clean sheet
13%
Chicago Fire clean sheet
22%
What stands out
Total goals 3.6
32% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Orlando City SC 1.9 scored / 1.9 conceded · Chicago Fire 1.8 / 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
50%
Shots
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
2.4
Orlando City SC · on target
M. Ojeda
Orlando City SC
1.3
Chicago Fire · on target
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
1.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Orlando City SC
At home- 1.56
- pts/game
- 1.78
- scored
- 1.56
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 19
- Clean sheet in 11%
When their goals arrive
Chicago Fire
Away- 1.38
- pts/game
- 1.75
- scored
- 1.63
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 17
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
Orlando City SC · Recent form
- D1-1FC Cincinnati
- D2-2Atletico San Luis
- L1-2Leon
- W2-1Monterrey
- L2-3New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire · Recent form
- W2-1Cruz Azul
- W3-1Santos Laguna
- W2-0Necaxa
- W2-1Charlotte
- L1-3New York City FC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire?
Golazo's model makes Chicago Fire the more likely winner at 49%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 69%, and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
More MLS matches
- Orlando City SC vs FC CincinnatiAug 15
- Atlanta United FC vs New York Red BullsAug 15
- Charlotte vs Columbus CrewAug 15
- Toronto FC vs New England RevolutionAug 15
- CF Montreal vs DC UnitedAug 15
- Nashville SC vs Inter MiamiAug 15
- Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles GalaxyAug 15
- Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FCAug 15
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.