Match preview
IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF: projection vs result
IFK Goteborg
13 in the table · 16 pts from 15
Degerfors IF
15 in the table · 10 pts from 15
2–0
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes IFK Goteborg the more likely winner at 61%, against 16% for Degerfors IF and 23% for the draw. It projects 3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. It finished IFK Goteborg 2–0 Degerfors IF.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
IFK Goteborg win
61%
Draw
23%
Degerfors IF win
16%
What we said, and what happened
0 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 3Actual 2Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 56%Actual NoMissed
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 58%Actual NoMissed
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2 – 1
Total goals 3
Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
IFK Goteborg clean sheet
37%
Degerfors IF clean sheet
13%
What stands out
Total goals 3
12% above a typical match · League average 2.7
IFK Goteborg 1.4 scored / 1.7 conceded · Degerfors IF 0.8 / 1.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
T. Heintz
IFK Goteborg
37%
Shots
T. Heintz
IFK Goteborg
2.2
IFK Goteborg · on target
T. Heintz
IFK Goteborg
1.1
Degerfors IF · on target
M. Rafferty
Degerfors IF
0.7
IFK Goteborg · Recent form
- W2-0Degerfors IF
- W3-1FC Levadia Tallinn
- L1-4Sirius
- L1-2FC Levadia Tallinn
- W2-1IF Brommapojkarna
Degerfors IF · Recent form
- L0-2IFK Goteborg
- L0-1Djurgardens IF
- L0-4Hammarby FF
- L0-2Vasteras SK FK
- L0-1Malmo FF
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF?
Golazo's model makes IFK Goteborg the more likely winner at 61%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.