Match preview
O'Higgins vs Palestino prediction
O'Higgins
Palestino
O'Higgins
10 in the table · 24 pts from 19
Palestino
4 in the table · 30 pts from 19
Sun, Aug 23, 07:00 PM
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: O'Higgins 35%, the draw 27%, Palestino 38%. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 60%. Behind that: O'Higgins have scored in 13 of 19 league games this season, Palestino in 14 of 19.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
O'Higgins win
35%
Draw
27%
Palestino win
38%
What our model expects
O'HigginsPer gamePalestinoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.5
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
O'Higgins clean sheet
23%
Palestino clean sheet
24%
What stands out
Offsides 3.1
13% below a typical match · League average 3.5
O'Higgins 1.8 + Palestino 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
N. Da Silva
Palestino
27%
Shots
A. Castillo
O'Higgins
2.5
O'Higgins · on target
T. Vecino
O'Higgins
1.1
Palestino · on target
N. Da Silva
Palestino
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
O'Higgins
At home- 1.33
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.33
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 19
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
Palestino
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 19
- Clean sheet in 11%
When their goals arrive
O'Higgins · Recent form
- D2-2Colo Colo
- L1-3Deportes Limache
- W2-1D. La Serena
- W1-0Boca Juniors
- L0-2Concepción
Palestino · Recent form
- W5-1Huachipato
- L1-2Universidad de Chile
- W2-1Coquimbo Unido
- L0-2Nublense
- W3-2Deportes Santa Cruz
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win O'Higgins vs Palestino?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: O'Higgins 35%, the draw 27%, Palestino 38%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in O'Higgins vs Palestino?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in O'Higgins vs Palestino?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 60%, and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
More Primera División (Chile) matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.