Match preview

Colo Colo vs O'Higgins prediction

Colo Colo
v
O'Higgins
662113
Colo ColoDrawO'Higgins
Goals expectedBoth teams score53%Over 2.5 goals59%Total goals3
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Colo Colo

1 in the table · 45 pts from 18

O'Higgins

11 in the table · 23 pts from 18

Sun, Aug 16, 05:30 PM

Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Colo Colo the more likely winner at 66%, against 13% for O'Higgins and 21% for the draw. It projects 3 goals in total, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 53%. Behind that: Colo Colo have scored in 16 of 18 league games this season, O'Higgins in 12 of 18.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Colo Colo win

66%

Draw

21%

O'Higgins win

13%

Most likely scorelines2011%1110%2110%

What our model expects

Colo ColoPer gameO'Higgins
WWWWDLast 5LWWLL
0.7Conceded1.8
2.2Expected goals0.9
2.33Points per game1.22
2.2Scored1.4
6.2Corners4.9
14.1Shots12.3
2.1Cards2.4
52Possession48

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

2.2 0.9

Total goals 3

Both teams score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

Over 1.5 goals

82%

Colo Colo clean sheet

41%

O'Higgins clean sheet

11%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3

    13% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Colo Colo 2.1 scored / 1.2 conceded · O'Higgins 1.3 / 1.4 per game

Corners

League average 5

Colo Colo6.2
O'Higgins4.9

Cards

League average 2.25

Colo Colo2.1
O'Higgins2.4

Shots

League average 12.5

Colo Colo14.1
O'Higgins12.3

Possession

Colo Colo52
O'Higgins48

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

J. Correa

Colo Colo

46%

Shots

J. Correa

Colo Colo

2.7

Colo Colo · on target

J. Correa

Colo Colo

1.8

O'Higgins · on target

T. Vecino

O'Higgins

1.1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Colo Colo

At home
2.33
pts/game
2.22
scored
0.67
conceded
  • Scored in 16 of 18
  • Clean sheet in 44%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

O'Higgins

Away
1.22
pts/game
1.44
scored
1.78
conceded
  • Scored in 12 of 18
  • Clean sheet in 22%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Colo Colo · Recent form

  • W2-1Union La Calera
  • W4-3Everton de Vina
  • W3-1Deportes Limache
  • W1-0Millonarios
  • D2-2Recoleta

O'Higgins · Recent form

  • L1-3Deportes Limache
  • W2-1D. La Serena
  • W1-0Boca Juniors
  • L0-2Concepción
  • L0-1Boca Juniors

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Colo Colo vs O'Higgins?

Golazo's model makes Colo Colo the more likely winner at 66%, with the draw at 21%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Colo Colo vs O'Higgins?

The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, at 11%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Colo Colo vs O'Higgins?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 53%, and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

More Primera División (Chile) matches

All Primera División (Chile) fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.