Match preview
A. Italiano vs Union La Calera prediction
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
13 in the table · 21 pts from 19
Union La Calera
16 in the table · 13 pts from 19
Fri, Aug 21, 08:30 PM
Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida, Santiago de Chile
The short answer
Golazo's model makes A. Italiano the more likely winner at 47%, against 25% for Union La Calera and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 53%. Behind that: A. Italiano have scored in 13 of 19 league games this season, Union La Calera in 13 of 19.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
A. Italiano win
47%
Draw
28%
Union La Calera win
25%
What our model expects
A. ItalianoPer gameUnion La CaleraNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.1
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
A. Italiano clean sheet
34%
Union La Calera clean sheet
21%
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
S. Sáez
Union La Calera
23%
Shots
F. Troyansky
A. Italiano
2.1
A. Italiano · on target
F. Troyansky
A. Italiano
1
Union La Calera · on target
S. Sáez
Union La Calera
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
A. Italiano
At home- 1.5
- pts/game
- 1.8
- scored
- 1.3
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 19
- Clean sheet in 30%
When their goals arrive
Union La Calera
Away- 0.78
- pts/game
- 0.56
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 19
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
A. Italiano · Recent form
- D1-1Everton de Vina
- D2-2Nublense
- W1-0Universidad de Concepcion
- L1-2Universidad de Chile
- W1-0Magallanes
Union La Calera · Recent form
- L1-2Nublense
- L1-2Colo Colo
- W4-0Santiago Wanderers
- L0-4Cobresal
- D1-1Everton de Vina
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?
Golazo's model makes A. Italiano the more likely winner at 47%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 53%, and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
More Primera División (Chile) matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.