Match preview
Palestino vs Huachipato prediction
Palestino
Huachipato
Palestino
4 in the table · 27 pts from 18
Huachipato
9 in the table · 24 pts from 18
Mon, Aug 17, 08:30 PM
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Santiago de Chile
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Palestino the more likely winner at 48%, against 28% for Huachipato and 25% for the draw. It projects 3.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 64%. Behind that: Palestino have scored in 13 of 18 league games this season, Huachipato in 11 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Palestino win
48%
Draw
25%
Huachipato win
28%
What our model expects
PalestinoPer gameHuachipatoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.4
Total goals 3.2
Both teams score
64%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Palestino clean sheet
26%
Huachipato clean sheet
16%
What stands out
Total goals 3.2
19% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Palestino 1.5 scored / 1.3 conceded · Huachipato 1.5 / 1.5 per game
Offsides 2.7
22% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Palestino 1.4 + Huachipato 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
N. Da Silva
Palestino
36%
Shots
L. Altamirano
Huachipato
2.4
Palestino · on target
N. Da Silva
Palestino
1
Huachipato · on target
L. Altamirano
Huachipato
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Palestino
At home- 2
- pts/game
- 1.89
- scored
- 0.89
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 18
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Huachipato
Away- 0.89
- pts/game
- 0.78
- scored
- 1.33
- conceded
- Scored in 11 of 18
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Palestino · Recent form
- L1-2Universidad de Chile
- W2-1Coquimbo Unido
- L0-2Nublense
- W3-2Deportes Santa Cruz
- W2-1Magallanes
Huachipato · Recent form
- L1-4Everton de Vina
- L0-2Universidad de Chile
- D3-3Cobresal
- W1-0Deportes Temuco
- L1-2D. Puerto Montt
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Palestino vs Huachipato?
Golazo's model makes Palestino the more likely winner at 48%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Palestino vs Huachipato?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Palestino vs Huachipato?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 64%, and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
More Primera División (Chile) matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.