Match preview
Cobresal vs Concepción prediction
Cobresal
Concepción
Cobresal
15 in the table · 17 pts from 18
Concepción
10 in the table · 23 pts from 18
Sun, Aug 16, 03:00 PM
Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador, El Salvador
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Cobresal 36%, the draw 28%, Concepción 36%. It projects 2.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 57%. Behind that: Cobresal have scored in 13 of 18 league games this season, Concepción in 12 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Cobresal win
36%
Draw
28%
Concepción win
36%
What our model expects
CobresalPer gameConcepciónNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.4
Total goals 2.7
Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Cobresal clean sheet
26%
Concepción clean sheet
25%
What stands out
Offsides 2.8
19% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Cobresal 1.3 + Concepción 1.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
S. Pino
Cobresal
37%
Shots
S. Pino
Cobresal
2.4
Cobresal · on target
F. Frías
Cobresal
0.9
Concepción · on target
J. Larrivey
Concepción
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Cobresal
At home- 1.5
- pts/game
- 1.63
- scored
- 1.5
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 18
- Clean sheet in 38%
When their goals arrive
Concepción
Away- 0.75
- pts/game
- 0.63
- scored
- 1.5
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 18
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
Cobresal · Recent form
- L0-2U. Catolica
- W4-0Union La Calera
- D3-3Huachipato
- L0-1Antofagasta
- D2-2Cobreloa
Concepción · Recent form
- W1-0Universidad de Concepcion
- W3-0U. Catolica
- W2-0O'Higgins
- W2-0D. Puerto Montt
- W2-0Deportes Temuco
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Cobresal vs Concepción?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Cobresal 36%, the draw 28%, Concepción 36%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Cobresal vs Concepción?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Cobresal vs Concepción?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 57%, and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
More Primera División (Chile) matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.