Match preview
Novorizontino vs America Mineiro prediction
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
7 in the table · 33 pts from 21
America Mineiro
19 in the table · 11 pts from 21
Thu, Aug 20, 07:30 PM
Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Novorizontino the more likely winner at 67%, against 11% for America Mineiro and 22% for the draw. It projects 2.7 goals in total, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 45%. Behind that: Novorizontino have scored in 15 of 21 league games this season, America Mineiro in 14 of 22.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Novorizontino win
67%
Draw
22%
America Mineiro win
11%
What our model expects
NovorizontinoPer gameAmerica MineiroNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2 – 0.7
Total goals 2.7
Both teams score
45%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Novorizontino clean sheet
49%
America Mineiro clean sheet
14%
What stands out
Corners 11.4
14% above a typical match · League average 10
Novorizontino win 5.9 per game, America Mineiro concede 5.3
Fouls 25.4
21% above a typical match · League average 21
Novorizontino 12.4 + America Mineiro 13.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Robson
Novorizontino
42%
Shots
Juninho
Novorizontino
2.1
Novorizontino · on target
Robson
Novorizontino
0.9
America Mineiro · on target
G. Mastriani
America Mineiro
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Novorizontino
At home- 1.7
- pts/game
- 1.4
- scored
- 1.1
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 21
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
America Mineiro
Away- 0.45
- pts/game
- 0.73
- scored
- 1.73
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 22
- Clean sheet in 9%
When their goals arrive
Novorizontino · Recent form
- D0-0CRB
- L0-1Juventude
- W4-1Londrina
- L0-1Criciuma
- L0-1Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro · Recent form
- L1-3Athletic Club
- L1-2Botafogo SP
- W1-0Goias
- L1-2Avai
- D1-1Ceara
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Novorizontino vs America Mineiro?
Golazo's model makes Novorizontino the more likely winner at 67%, with the draw at 22%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Novorizontino vs America Mineiro?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, at 13%. The model projects 2.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Novorizontino vs America Mineiro?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 45%, and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.