Match preview
New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC prediction
New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
Wed, Aug 19, 07:30 PM
Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Nashville SC the more likely winner at 59%, against 18% for New York Red Bulls and 23% for the draw. It projects 3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. Behind that: New York Red Bulls have scored in 14 of 18 league games this season, Nashville SC in 14 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
New York Red Bulls win
18%
Draw
23%
Nashville SC win
59%
What our model expects
New York Red BullsPer gameNashville SCNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 2
Total goals 3
Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
New York Red Bulls clean sheet
14%
Nashville SC clean sheet
36%
What stands out
Total goals 3
12% above a typical match · League average 2.7
New York Red Bulls 1.6 scored / 2.0 conceded · Nashville SC 1.4 / 1.0 per game
Cards 5.1
13% above a typical match · League average 4.5
New York Red Bulls 3.0 + Nashville SC 2.1 per game
Fouls 24.6
17% above a typical match · League average 21
New York Red Bulls 12.5 + Nashville SC 12.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
S. Surridge
Nashville SC
54%
Shots
S. Surridge
Nashville SC
2.2
New York Red Bulls · on target
C. Cowell
New York Red Bulls
0.9
Nashville SC · on target
S. Surridge
Nashville SC
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
New York Red Bulls
At home- 1.56
- pts/game
- 1.78
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 18
- Clean sheet in 11%
When their goals arrive
Nashville SC
Away- 1.67
- pts/game
- 1.11
- scored
- 0.56
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 18
- Clean sheet in 56%
When their goals arrive
New York Red Bulls · Recent form
- W3-2Orlando City SC
- L0-2Charlotte
- L1-3Philadelphia Union
- W2-1Sporting Kansas City
- D1-1New York City FC
Nashville SC · Recent form
- L1-2Monterrey
- W4-1Atletico San Luis
- L0-1Leon
- D2-2DC United
- L0-1Orlando City SC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?
Golazo's model makes Nashville SC the more likely winner at 59%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
More MLS matches
- Orlando City SC vs FC CincinnatiAug 15
- Atlanta United FC vs New York Red BullsAug 15
- Charlotte vs Columbus CrewAug 15
- Toronto FC vs New England RevolutionAug 15
- CF Montreal vs DC UnitedAug 15
- Nashville SC vs Inter MiamiAug 15
- Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles GalaxyAug 15
- Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FCAug 15
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.