Match preview
Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC prediction
Minnesota United FC
Atlanta United FC
Minnesota United FC
10 in the table · 24 pts from 18
Atlanta United FC
Wed, Aug 19, 08:30 PM
Allianz Field, Saint Paul
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Minnesota United FC the more likely winner at 48%, against 23% for Atlanta United FC and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 48%. Behind that: Minnesota United FC have scored in 13 of 18 league games this season, Atlanta United FC in 11 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Minnesota United FC win
48%
Draw
29%
Atlanta United FC win
23%
What our model expects
Minnesota United FCPer gameAtlanta United FCNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 0.9
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Minnesota United FC clean sheet
39%
Atlanta United FC clean sheet
23%
What stands out
Offsides 3
14% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Minnesota United FC 1.4 + Atlanta United FC 1.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
K. Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
32%
Shots
T. Chancalay
Minnesota United FC
2
Minnesota United FC · on target
M.Dieng
Minnesota United FC
1
Atlanta United FC · on target
S. Lobzhanidze
Atlanta United FC
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Minnesota United FC
At home- 1.22
- pts/game
- 0.78
- scored
- 0.67
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 18
- Clean sheet in 44%
When their goals arrive
Atlanta United FC
Away- 0.5
- pts/game
- 0.8
- scored
- 1.9
- conceded
- Scored in 11 of 18
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Minnesota United FC · Recent form
- W3-1Atlante FC
- D0-0Tigres UANL
- L1-2FC Juarez
- D1-1San Diego
Atlanta United FC · Recent form
- W2-1New York Red Bulls
- L2-3Philadelphia Union
- L1-4New England Revolution
- D2-2Charlotte
- L0-1Nashville SC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC?
Golazo's model makes Minnesota United FC the more likely winner at 48%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 48%, and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
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- Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FCAug 15
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.