Match preview
Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction
Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy
12 in the table · 22 pts from 19
San Jose Earthquakes
3 in the table · 33 pts from 18
Wed, Aug 19, 10:30 PM
Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles
The short answer
Golazo's model makes San Jose Earthquakes the more likely winner at 44%, against 29% for Los Angeles Galaxy and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 59%. Behind that: Los Angeles Galaxy have scored in 17 of 19 league games this season, San Jose Earthquakes in 16 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Los Angeles Galaxy win
29%
Draw
27%
San Jose Earthquakes win
44%
What our model expects
Los Angeles GalaxyPer gameSan Jose EarthquakesNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.6
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Los Angeles Galaxy clean sheet
20%
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet
28%
What stands out
Cards 5.6
25% above a typical match · League average 4.5
Los Angeles Galaxy 2.8 + San Jose Earthquakes 2.9 per game
Fouls 24.5
17% above a typical match · League average 21
Los Angeles Galaxy 11.6 + San Jose Earthquakes 12.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
P. Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
35%
Shots
Gabriel Pec
Los Angeles Galaxy
2.6
Los Angeles Galaxy · on target
Gabriel Pec
Los Angeles Galaxy
1.8
San Jose Earthquakes · on target
P. Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
1.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Los Angeles Galaxy
At home- 1
- pts/game
- 1.1
- scored
- 1.4
- conceded
- Scored in 17 of 19
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
San Jose Earthquakes
Away- 2.11
- pts/game
- 2.22
- scored
- 1.44
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 18
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
Los Angeles Galaxy · Recent form
- L0-1Houston Dynamo
- D0-0FC Dallas
- D1-1San Jose Earthquakes
- L1-3St. Louis City
- L0-3Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes · Recent form
- L2-4FC Cincinnati
- D1-1Los Angeles Galaxy
- L0-4Orlando City SC
- L1-2Club Tijuana
- W3-1Portland Timbers
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Golazo's model makes San Jose Earthquakes the more likely winner at 44%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 59%, and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
More MLS matches
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- Toronto FC vs New England RevolutionAug 15
- CF Montreal vs DC UnitedAug 15
- Nashville SC vs Inter MiamiAug 15
- Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles GalaxyAug 15
- Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FCAug 15
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.