Match preview

KI Klaksvik vs Lech Poznan prediction

KI Klaksvik
v
Lech Poznan
323038
KI KlaksvikDrawLech Poznan
Goals expectedBoth teams score50%Over 2.5 goals44%Total goals2.4
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

KI Klaksvik

Lech Poznan

Thu, Aug 13, 01:30 PM

Europa League

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Lech Poznan the more likely winner at 38%, against 32% for KI Klaksvik and 30% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 50%. Behind that: KI Klaksvik have scored in 0 of 1 league games this season, Lech Poznan in 1 of 1.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

KI Klaksvik win

32%

Draw

30%

Lech Poznan win

38%

Most likely scorelines1114%0010%0110%

What our model expects

KI KlaksvikPer gameLech Poznan
LWLDWLast 5WWWLD
0.0Shots14.6
2.6Cards1.8
46Possession54
1.2Expected goals1.3
4.8Corners5.2
0.0Scored0.0
0.0Conceded0.0
0.00Points per game0.00

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.2 1.3

Total goals 2.4

Both teams score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

Over 1.5 goals

71%

KI Klaksvik clean sheet

28%

Lech Poznan clean sheet

32%

What stands out

  • Offsides 2.6

    26% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    KI Klaksvik 1.4 + Lech Poznan 1.2 per game

Corners

League average 5

KI Klaksvik4.8
Lech Poznan5.2

Cards

League average 2.25

KI Klaksvik2.6
Lech Poznan1.8

Shots

League average 12.5

KI Klaksvik
Lech Poznan14.6

Possession

KI Klaksvik46
Lech Poznan54

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

P. Johannesen

KI Klaksvik

27%

Shots

Y. Agnero

Lech Poznan

1.7

KI Klaksvik · on target

D. Johansen

KI Klaksvik

0.7

Lech Poznan · on target

Y. Agnero

Lech Poznan

0.9

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

KI Klaksvik

At home
  • Scored in 0 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Lech Poznan

Away
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

KI Klaksvik · Recent form

  • L0-1Lech Poznan
  • W2-0B36 Torshavn
  • L0-1Kauno Žalgiris
  • D0-0Kauno Žalgiris
  • W2-1Atert Bissen

Lech Poznan · Recent form

  • W3-0Piast Gliwice
  • W1-0KI Klaksvik
  • W2-1Wieczysta Kraków
  • L0-3Aarhus
  • D0-0Cracovia Krakow

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win KI Klaksvik vs Lech Poznan?

Golazo's model makes Lech Poznan the more likely winner at 38%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in KI Klaksvik vs Lech Poznan?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in KI Klaksvik vs Lech Poznan?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 50%, and over 2.5 goals at 44%.

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