Match preview
Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction
Pafos
Red Bull Salzburg
Pafos
Red Bull Salzburg
31 in the table · 6 pts from 8
Thu, Aug 13, 01:00 PM
Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Red Bull Salzburg the more likely winner at 47%, against 27% for Pafos and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 58%. Behind that: Pafos have scored in 1 of 3 league games this season, Red Bull Salzburg in 1 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Pafos win
27%
Draw
26%
Red Bull Salzburg win
47%
What our model expects
PafosPer gameRed Bull SalzburgBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.7
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Pafos clean sheet
19%
Red Bull Salzburg clean sheet
29%
What stands out
Corners 11.7
17% above a typical match · League average 10
Pafos win 4.5 per game, Red Bull Salzburg concede 3.7
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Anderson Silva
Pafos
25%
Shots
Anderson Silva
Pafos
1.7
Pafos · on target
Anderson Silva
Pafos
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Pafos
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 1 of 3
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Red Bull Salzburg
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Pafos · Recent form
- L0-1Red Bull Salzburg
- W2-0HNK Hajduk Split
- L0-2HNK Hajduk Split
- L2-3Slovan Bratislava
- L0-1Jagiellonia
Red Bull Salzburg · Recent form
- W1-0Pafos
- W1-0TSV Hartberg
- W7-1Oberwart
- W5-0Energie Cottbus
- L1-2Başakşehir
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Golazo's model makes Red Bull Salzburg the more likely winner at 47%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.