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Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS prediction

Universitatea Craiova
v
KuPS
353134
Universitatea CraiovaDrawKuPS
Goals expectedBoth teams score47%Over 2.5 goals39%Total goals2.2
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Universitatea Craiova

KuPS

Thu, Aug 13, 01:00 PM

Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: Universitatea Craiova 35%, the draw 31%, KuPS 34%. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 47%. Behind that: Universitatea Craiova have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, KuPS in 1 of 1.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Universitatea Craiova win

35%

Draw

31%

KuPS win

34%

Most likely scorelines1115%0012%1011%

What our model expects

Universitatea CraiovaPer gameKuPS
DWDLLLast 5DWLWL
14.7Shots12.4
2.0Cards2.2
52Possession48
4.4Corners4.3
1.1Expected goals1.1
0.0Scored0.0
0.0Conceded0.0
0.00Points per game0.00

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.1 1.1

Total goals 2.2

Both teams score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

Over 1.5 goals

67%

Universitatea Craiova clean sheet

33%

KuPS clean sheet

32%

What stands out

  • Total goals 2.2

    17% below a typical match · League average 2.7

    Universitatea Craiova 1.6 scored / 1.1 conceded · KuPS 1.6 / 0.9 per game

  • Corners 8.7

    13% below a typical match · League average 10

    Universitatea Craiova win 3.9 per game, KuPS concede 4.3

  • Offsides 4.2

    20% above a typical match · League average 3.5

    Universitatea Craiova 1.4 + KuPS 2.8 per game

Corners

League average 5

Universitatea Craiova4.4
KuPS4.3

Cards

League average 2.25

Universitatea Craiova2
KuPS2.2

Shots

League average 12.5

Universitatea Craiova14.7
KuPS12.4

Possession

Universitatea Craiova52
KuPS48

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

J. Moreno

KuPS

27%

Shots

J. Moreno

KuPS

2.3

KuPS · on target

J. Moreno

KuPS

1.3

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Universitatea Craiova

At home
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

KuPS

Away
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Universitatea Craiova · Recent form

  • D1-1KuPS
  • W4-0Petrolul Ploiesti
  • D2-2Levski Sofia
  • L1-5Dinamo Bucuresti
  • L0-1Levski Sofia

KuPS · Recent form

  • D1-1Universitatea Craiova
  • W1-0Gnistan
  • L0-2Sabah FA
  • W3-1VPS
  • L0-1Sabah FA

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Universitatea Craiova 35%, the draw 31%, KuPS 34%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 47%, and over 2.5 goals at 39%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.