Match preview
Saburtalo vs Larne prediction
Saburtalo
Larne
Tue, Aug 11, 12:00 PM
Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Saburtalo the more likely winner at 40%, against 32% for Larne and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: Saburtalo have scored in 0 of 1 league games this season, Larne in 0 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Saburtalo win
40%
Draw
29%
Larne win
32%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.2
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Saburtalo clean sheet
30%
Larne clean sheet
25%
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
I. Tabatadze
Saburtalo
20%
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Saburtalo
At home- Scored in 0 of 1
Larne
Away- Scored in 0 of 1
Saburtalo · Recent form
- D0-0Larne
- D1-1Slovan Bratislava
- W3-1Margveti 2006
- L0-2Slovan Bratislava
- D2-2Flora Tallinn
Larne · Recent form
- D0-0Saburtalo
- L0-5FK Crvena Zvezda
- L0-4FK Crvena Zvezda
- W2-1Tre Fiori
- W1-0Tre Fiori
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Saburtalo vs Larne?
Golazo's model makes Saburtalo the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Saburtalo vs Larne?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Saburtalo vs Larne?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
More Europa League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.