Match preview
CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction
CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel Aviv
CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel Aviv
36 in the table · 1 pts from 8
Thu, Aug 13, 02:00 PM
National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
The short answer
Golazo's model makes CSKA Sofia the more likely winner at 41%, against 32% for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 60%. Behind that: CSKA Sofia have scored in 4 of 5 league games this season, Maccabi Tel Aviv in 2 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
CSKA Sofia win
41%
Draw
27%
Maccabi Tel Aviv win
32%
What our model expects
CSKA SofiaPer gameMaccabi Tel AvivBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.4
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
CSKA Sofia clean sheet
26%
Maccabi Tel Aviv clean sheet
21%
What stands out
Fouls 24.6
17% above a typical match · League average 21
CSKA Sofia 12.0 + Maccabi Tel Aviv 12.6 per game
Offsides 3
14% below a typical match · League average 3.5
CSKA Sofia 1.4 + Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
S. Godoy
CSKA Sofia
39%
Shots
S. Godoy
CSKA Sofia
2.5
CSKA Sofia · on target
S. Godoy
CSKA Sofia
1.3
Maccabi Tel Aviv · on target
Dor Peretz
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
CSKA Sofia
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 4 of 5
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Away- 3
- pts/game
- 5
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 3
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
CSKA Sofia · Recent form
- W3-0Septemvri Sofia
- W3-0Maccabi Tel Aviv
- W2-1Dunav Ruse
- D0-0Qarabag
- W3-2Botev Plovdiv
Maccabi Tel Aviv · Recent form
- L0-3CSKA Sofia
- W1-0Sheriff Tiraspol
- W5-0Sheriff Tiraspol
- W3-1Hapoel Beer Sheva
- L0-1IMT Novi Beograd
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Golazo's model makes CSKA Sofia the more likely winner at 41%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 60%, and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
More Europa League matches
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