Match preview
Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun prediction
Vikingur Reykjavik
FC ThunVikingur Reykjavik
FC Thun
Thu, Aug 13, 01:30 PM
Europa League
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Vikingur Reykjavik the more likely winner at 79%, against 9% for FC Thun and 12% for the draw. It projects 5 goals in total, with 3-1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%, and puts both teams scoring at 73%. Behind that: Vikingur Reykjavik have scored in 0 of 1 league games this season, FC Thun in 1 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Vikingur Reykjavik win
79%
Draw
12%
FC Thun win
9%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
3.7 – 1.4
Total goals 5
Both teams score
73%
Over 2.5 goals
88%
Over 1.5 goals
96%
Vikingur Reykjavik clean sheet
26%
FC Thun clean sheet
3%
What stands out
Total goals 5
87% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Vikingur Reykjavik 2.4 scored / 1.1 conceded · FC Thun 1.8 / 1.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
B. Labeau
FC Thun
18%
Shots
N. Reichmuth
FC Thun
1.2
FC Thun · on target
B. Labeau
FC Thun
0.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Vikingur Reykjavik
At home- Scored in 0 of 1
When their goals arrive
FC Thun
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Vikingur Reykjavik · Recent form
- L0-3FC Thun
- D2-2IA Akranes
- L0-2Hapoel Beer Sheva
- W5-1Keflavik
- W2-1Hapoel Beer Sheva
FC Thun · Recent form
- W3-0Vikingur Reykjavik
- L0-6BSC Young Boys
- L2-3Dinamo Zagreb
- W3-1FC Luzern
- D1-1Dinamo Zagreb
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
Golazo's model makes Vikingur Reykjavik the more likely winner at 79%, with the draw at 12%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
The single most likely scoreline is 3-1, at 7%. The model projects 5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 73%, and over 2.5 goals at 88%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.