Match preview

Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun prediction

Vikingur Reykjavik
v
FC Thun
79129
Vikingur ReykjavikDrawFC Thun
Goals expectedBoth teams score73%Over 2.5 goals88%Total goals5
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Vikingur Reykjavik

FC Thun

Thu, Aug 13, 01:30 PM

Europa League

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Vikingur Reykjavik the more likely winner at 79%, against 9% for FC Thun and 12% for the draw. It projects 5 goals in total, with 3-1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%, and puts both teams scoring at 73%. Behind that: Vikingur Reykjavik have scored in 0 of 1 league games this season, FC Thun in 1 of 1.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Vikingur Reykjavik win

79%

Draw

12%

FC Thun win

9%

Most likely scorelines317%417%216%

What our model expects

Vikingur ReykjavikPer gameFC Thun
LDLWWLast 5WLLWD
0.0Shots12.6
3.7Expected goals1.4
6.2Corners4.8
53Possession47
2.2Cards2.0
0.0Scored0.0
0.0Conceded0.0
0.00Points per game0.00

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

3.7 1.4

Total goals 5

Both teams score

73%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

Over 1.5 goals

96%

Vikingur Reykjavik clean sheet

26%

FC Thun clean sheet

3%

What stands out

  • Total goals 5

    87% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Vikingur Reykjavik 2.4 scored / 1.1 conceded · FC Thun 1.8 / 1.9 per game

Corners

League average 5

Vikingur Reykjavik6.2
FC Thun4.8

Cards

League average 2.25

Vikingur Reykjavik2.2
FC Thun2

Shots

League average 12.5

Vikingur Reykjavik
FC Thun12.6

Possession

Vikingur Reykjavik53
FC Thun47

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

B. Labeau

FC Thun

18%

Shots

N. Reichmuth

FC Thun

1.2

FC Thun · on target

B. Labeau

FC Thun

0.6

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Vikingur Reykjavik

At home
  • Scored in 0 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

FC Thun

Away
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Vikingur Reykjavik · Recent form

  • L0-3FC Thun
  • D2-2IA Akranes
  • L0-2Hapoel Beer Sheva
  • W5-1Keflavik
  • W2-1Hapoel Beer Sheva

FC Thun · Recent form

  • W3-0Vikingur Reykjavik
  • L0-6BSC Young Boys
  • L2-3Dinamo Zagreb
  • W3-1FC Luzern
  • D1-1Dinamo Zagreb

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?

Golazo's model makes Vikingur Reykjavik the more likely winner at 79%, with the draw at 12%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?

The single most likely scoreline is 3-1, at 7%. The model projects 5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 73%, and over 2.5 goals at 88%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.