Match preview
Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia M. prediction
Instituto Cordoba
9 in the table · 21 pts from 16
Gimnasia M.
11 in the table · 19 pts from 16
Sun, Aug 9, 08:30 PM
Estadio Presidente Peron, Cordoba
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Instituto Cordoba the more likely winner at 49%, against 20% for Gimnasia M. and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 42%. Behind that: Instituto Cordoba have scored in 13 of 19 league games this season, Gimnasia M. in 13 of 19.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Instituto Cordoba win
49%
Draw
31%
Gimnasia M. win
20%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 0.8
Total goals 2.1
Both teams score
42%
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Instituto Cordoba clean sheet
46%
Gimnasia M. clean sheet
26%
What stands out
match.offsides 2.2
36% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Instituto Cordoba 1.4 + Gimnasia M. 0.8 per game
Total goals 2.1
21% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Instituto Cordoba 1.3 scored / 0.9 conceded · Gimnasia M. 1.2 / 1.2 per game
Fouls 24.4
16% above a typical match · League average 21
Instituto Cordoba 12.3 + Gimnasia M. 12.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
A. Módica
Gimnasia M.
20%
Shots
A. Luna
Instituto Cordoba
2
Instituto Cordoba · on target
A. Luna
Instituto Cordoba
1
Gimnasia M. · on target
L. Cingolani
Gimnasia M.
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Instituto Cordoba
At home- 1.78
- pts/game
- 1.44
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 19
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
Gimnasia M.
Away- 0.67
- pts/game
- 0.56
- scored
- 1.67
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 19
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
Instituto Cordoba · Recent form
- W1-0Lanus
- W2-1Platense
- L0-1Velez Sarsfield
- W2-1Lanus
- W2-0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Gimnasia M. · Recent form
- W2-0Union Santa Fe
- L0-1San Lorenzo
- W1-0Central Cordoba de Santiago
- W2-1Defensa Y Justicia
- L1-5Independ. Rivadavia
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia M.?
Golazo's model makes Instituto Cordoba the more likely winner at 49%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia M.?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 15%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia M.?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 42%, and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.