Match preview
Independiente vs Platense prediction
Independiente
5 in the table · 24 pts from 16
Platense
12 in the table · 16 pts from 16
Sat, Aug 8, 08:30 PM
Avellaneda
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Independiente the more likely winner at 57%, against 16% for Platense and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 46%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Independiente win
57%
Draw
26%
Platense win
16%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.7 – 0.8
Total goals 2.5
Both teams score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Independiente clean sheet
45%
Platense clean sheet
19%
What stands out
Fouls 24.2
15% above a typical match · League average 21
Independiente 12.7 + Platense 11.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
G. Ávalos
Independiente
34%
Shots
G. Ávalos
Independiente
1.9
Independiente · on target
S. Montiel
Independiente
0.9
Platense · on target
F. Zapiola
Platense
1
Independiente · Recent form
- L0-1Velez Sarsfield
- W1-0Newells Old Boys
- W2-0Estudiantes L.P.
- W2-0Union Santa Fe
- L1-3Rosario Central
Platense · Recent form
- L0-4Talleres Cordoba
- L1-2Instituto Cordoba
- D2-2Union Santa Fe
- W2-0Corinthians
- L1-2Santa Fe
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Independiente vs Platense?
Golazo's model makes Independiente the more likely winner at 57%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Independiente vs Platense?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 13%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Independiente vs Platense?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 46%, and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.