Match preview

Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P.: projection vs result

Aldosivi

Gimnasia L.P.

12

Final

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: Aldosivi 34%, the draw 29%, Gimnasia L.P. 37%. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 53%. It finished Aldosivi 1–2 Gimnasia L.P..

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Aldosivi win

34%

Draw

29%

Gimnasia L.P. win

37%

Most likely scorelines1114%009%019%

What we said, and what happened

2 of 3 called correctly

Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.

  • Total goalsProjected 2.6Actual 3Called
  • Both teams scoreProjected 53%Actual YesCalled
  • Over 2.5 goalsProjected 47%Actual YesMissed

What our model expects

Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.3 1.3

Total goals 2.6

Both teams score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

Over 1.5 goals

74%

Aldosivi clean sheet

27%

Gimnasia L.P. clean sheet

29%

Corners

League average 5

Aldosivi5.1
Gimnasia L.P.4.5

Cards

League average 2.25

Aldosivi2.1
Gimnasia L.P.2.5

Shots

League average 12.5

Aldosivi12.4
Gimnasia L.P.11.6

Possession

Aldosivi49
Gimnasia L.P.51

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

M. Torres

Gimnasia L.P.

27%

Shots

M. Zalazar

Gimnasia L.P.

2.2

Aldosivi · on target

M. García

Aldosivi

0.5

Gimnasia L.P. · on target

M. Torres

Gimnasia L.P.

0.8

Aldosivi · Recent form

  • L1-2Gimnasia L.P.
  • L0-1Barracas Central
  • D1-1Defensa Y Justicia
  • W3-1River Plate
  • D1-1Independ. Rivadavia

Gimnasia L.P. · Recent form

  • W2-1Aldosivi
  • W1-0River Plate
  • L1-2Racing Club
  • W3-1Dinamo Makhachkala
  • D1-1Zenit

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Aldosivi 34%, the draw 29%, Gimnasia L.P. 37%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P.?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 53%, and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.