Match preview
Hammarby FF vs Gais prediction
Hammarby FF
GaisHammarby FF
2 in the table · 33 pts from 17
Gais
9 in the table · 23 pts from 17
Sun, Aug 23, 10:30 AM
3Arena, Stockholm
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Hammarby FF the more likely winner at 55%, against 18% for Gais and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 46%. Behind that: Hammarby FF have scored in 15 of 17 league games this season, Gais in 13 of 17.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Hammarby FF win
55%
Draw
27%
Gais win
18%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 0.8
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Hammarby FF clean sheet
44%
Gais clean sheet
20%
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
P. Abraham
Hammarby FF
34%
Shots
N. Besara
Hammarby FF
2.7
Hammarby FF · on target
N. Besara
Hammarby FF
1.3
Gais · on target
S. Salter
Gais
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Hammarby FF
At home- 2.44
- pts/game
- 3.22
- scored
- 0.56
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 17
- Clean sheet in 56%
When their goals arrive
Gais
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 1.13
- scored
- 1.5
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 17
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
Hammarby FF · Recent form
- W4-0Kalmar FF
- L0-1Raków Częstochowa
- W3-0BK Hacken
- D0-0Raków Częstochowa
- L1-3Anderlecht
Gais · Recent form
- L0-1Malmo FF
- W2-0Halmstad
- L0-6FC Nordsjaelland
- D1-1Halmstad
- W1-0FC Nordsjaelland
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Gais?
Golazo's model makes Hammarby FF the more likely winner at 55%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Hammarby FF vs Gais?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 13%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Hammarby FF vs Gais?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 46%, and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.