Match preview

Hammarby FF vs Gais prediction

Hammarby FF
v
Gais
552718
Hammarby FFDrawGais
Goals expectedBoth teams score46%Over 2.5 goals43%Total goals2.4
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Hammarby FF

2 in the table · 33 pts from 17

Gais

9 in the table · 23 pts from 17

Sun, Aug 23, 10:30 AM

3Arena, Stockholm

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Hammarby FF the more likely winner at 55%, against 18% for Gais and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 46%. Behind that: Hammarby FF have scored in 15 of 17 league games this season, Gais in 13 of 17.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Hammarby FF win

55%

Draw

27%

Gais win

18%

Most likely scorelines1013%1113%2012%

What our model expects

Hammarby FFPer gameGais
WLWDLLast 5LWLDW
3.2Scored1.1
0.6Conceded1.5
2.44Points per game1.00
1.6Expected goals0.8
6.2Corners4.8
15.9Shots13.6
2.0Cards2.1
50Possession50

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.6 0.8

Total goals 2.4

Both teams score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

Over 1.5 goals

71%

Hammarby FF clean sheet

44%

Gais clean sheet

20%

Corners

League average 5

Hammarby FF6.2
Gais4.8

Cards

League average 2.25

Hammarby FF2
Gais2.1

Shots

League average 12.5

Hammarby FF15.9
Gais13.6

Possession

Hammarby FF50
Gais50

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

P. Abraham

Hammarby FF

34%

Shots

N. Besara

Hammarby FF

2.7

Hammarby FF · on target

N. Besara

Hammarby FF

1.3

Gais · on target

S. Salter

Gais

0.9

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Hammarby FF

At home
2.44
pts/game
3.22
scored
0.56
conceded
  • Scored in 15 of 17
  • Clean sheet in 56%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Gais

Away
1
pts/game
1.13
scored
1.5
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 17
  • Clean sheet in 25%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Hammarby FF · Recent form

  • W4-0Kalmar FF
  • L0-1Raków Częstochowa
  • W3-0BK Hacken
  • D0-0Raków Częstochowa
  • L1-3Anderlecht

Gais · Recent form

  • L0-1Malmo FF
  • W2-0Halmstad
  • L0-6FC Nordsjaelland
  • D1-1Halmstad
  • W1-0FC Nordsjaelland

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Hammarby FF vs Gais?

Golazo's model makes Hammarby FF the more likely winner at 55%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Hammarby FF vs Gais?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 13%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Hammarby FF vs Gais?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 46%, and over 2.5 goals at 43%.

More Allsvenskan matches

All Allsvenskan fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.