Match preview
Sirius vs BK Hacken prediction
Sirius
BK Hacken
Sirius
1 in the table · 42 pts from 17
BK Hacken
7 in the table · 25 pts from 16
Fri, Aug 21, 01:00 PM
Studenternas IP, Uppsala
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Sirius the more likely winner at 63%, against 18% for BK Hacken and 19% for the draw. It projects 4.1 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 71%. Behind that: Sirius have scored in 17 of 17 league games this season, BK Hacken in 14 of 16.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Sirius win
63%
Draw
19%
BK Hacken win
18%
What our model expects
SiriusPer gameBK HackenNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.6 – 1.4
Total goals 4.1
Both teams score
71%
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Sirius clean sheet
24%
BK Hacken clean sheet
7%
What stands out
Total goals 4.1
50% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Sirius 2.3 scored / 1.3 conceded · BK Hacken 1.7 / 1.6 per game
Cards 3.9
13% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Sirius 1.9 + BK Hacken 2.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
R. Ure
Sirius
47%
Shots
I. Bjerkebo
Sirius
2.3
Sirius · on target
I. Bjerkebo
Sirius
1.5
BK Hacken · on target
Julius Lindberg
BK Hacken
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Sirius
At home- 2.5
- pts/game
- 2.88
- scored
- 1.38
- conceded
- Scored in 17 of 17
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
BK Hacken
Away- 1.5
- pts/game
- 1.63
- scored
- 1.5
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 16
- Clean sheet in 38%
When their goals arrive
Sirius · Recent form
- L3-4Mjallby AIF
- D2-2IF Brommapojkarna
- W2-0Halmstad
- W4-1IFK Goteborg
- W3-1IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken · Recent form
- W1-0Halmstad
- L0-3Hammarby FF
- D1-1Kalmar FF
- D0-0AIK Stockholm
- W2-0Halmstad
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Sirius vs BK Hacken?
Golazo's model makes Sirius the more likely winner at 63%, with the draw at 19%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Sirius vs BK Hacken?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 9%. The model projects 4.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Sirius vs BK Hacken?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 71%, and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.