Match preview
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana prediction
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Tijuana
Guadalajara Chivas
9 in the table · 7 pts from 4
Club Tijuana
2 in the table · 10 pts from 4
Sat, Aug 22, 07:07 PM
Estadio Akron, Zapopan
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Guadalajara Chivas the more likely winner at 41%, against 28% for Club Tijuana and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 46%. Behind that: Guadalajara Chivas have scored in 3 of 4 league games this season, Club Tijuana in 3 of 4.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Guadalajara Chivas win
41%
Draw
31%
Club Tijuana win
28%
What our model expects
Guadalajara ChivasPer gameClub TijuanaBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Over 1.5 goals
66%
Guadalajara Chivas clean sheet
38%
Club Tijuana clean sheet
29%
What stands out
Total goals 2.2
18% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Guadalajara Chivas 1.3 scored / 1.1 conceded · Club Tijuana 1.3 / 1.2 per game
Cards 3.4
23% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Guadalajara Chivas 1.4 + Club Tijuana 2.0 per game
Offsides 4
14% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Guadalajara Chivas 2.0 + Club Tijuana 2.0 per game
Guadalajara Chivas projected to see 59% of the ball.
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Mourad
Club Tijuana
23%
Shots
Mourad
Club Tijuana
1.8
Guadalajara Chivas · on target
R. Alvarado
Guadalajara Chivas
1.2
Club Tijuana · on target
Mourad
Club Tijuana
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Guadalajara Chivas
At home- 1.5
- pts/game
- 0.5
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 4
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Club Tijuana
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 0
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 4
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Guadalajara Chivas · Recent form
- W1-0Santos Laguna
- W2-1Seattle Sounders
- L0-1FC Dallas
- D1-1Los Angeles FC
- D1-1Puebla
Club Tijuana · Recent form
- W2-1Cruz Azul
- L1-3Portland Timbers
- L0-1San Diego
- L0-2Austin
- D0-0Atletico San Luis
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
Golazo's model makes Guadalajara Chivas the more likely winner at 41%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 46%, and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.