Match preview
Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield prediction
Fleetwood Town
Chesterfield
Sat, Aug 8, 10:00 AM
Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Fleetwood Town the more likely winner at 39%, against 27% for Chesterfield and 34% for the draw. It projects 2 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 40%. Behind that: Fleetwood Town have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Chesterfield in 0 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Fleetwood Town win
39%
Draw
34%
Chesterfield win
27%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 0.9
Total goals 2
Both teams score
40%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Over 1.5 goals
60%
Fleetwood Town clean sheet
42%
Chesterfield clean sheet
33%
What stands out
Total goals 2
27% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Fleetwood Town 1.3 scored / 1.1 conceded · Chesterfield 1.2 / 1.0 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
L. Bonis
Chesterfield
23%
Shots
J. Davies
Fleetwood Town
2.6
Fleetwood Town · on target
J. Davies
Fleetwood Town
1.1
Chesterfield · on target
L. Bonis
Chesterfield
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Fleetwood Town
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Chesterfield
Away- Scored in 0 of 1
When their goals arrive
Fleetwood Town · Recent form
- L0-1Hartlepool
- D1-1Bolton
- W2-1Huddersfield
- W1-0Southport
- W2-0Chester
Chesterfield · Recent form
- D1-1Scunthorpe
- L2-3FC Halifax Town
- D0-0Sheffield Utd
- D0-0Notts County
- L0-1Notts County
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?
Golazo's model makes Fleetwood Town the more likely winner at 39%, with the draw at 34%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 15%. The model projects 2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 40%, and over 2.5 goals at 32%.
More EFL Cup matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.