Match preview
QPR vs Millwall prediction
QPR
Millwall
Sat, Aug 8, 09:00 AM
Loftus Road, London
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: QPR 35%, the draw 29%, Millwall 36%. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: QPR have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Millwall in 3 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
QPR win
35%
Draw
29%
Millwall win
36%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.3
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
QPR clean sheet
28%
Millwall clean sheet
28%
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
R. Burrell
QPR
21%
Shots
O. Azeez
Millwall
2
QPR · on target
R. Kone
QPR
0.9
Millwall · on target
M. Ivanović
Millwall
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
QPR
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Millwall
Away- 1.5
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
QPR · Recent form
- W3-2AFC Wimbledon
- W7-0Bromley
- W3-2Fiorentina
- W1-0Wycombe
- W3-1SC Wiener Neustadt
Millwall · Recent form
- W1-0Antwerp
- D1-1Bromley
- L0-1Stevenage
- L0-1Gillingham
- W2-1Eldense
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win QPR vs Millwall?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: QPR 35%, the draw 29%, Millwall 36%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in QPR vs Millwall?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in QPR vs Millwall?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
More EFL Cup matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.