Match preview
Middlesbrough vs Wrexham prediction
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
Fri, Aug 7, 03:00 PM
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Wrexham the more likely winner at 37%, against 31% for Middlesbrough and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 47%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Middlesbrough win
31%
Draw
31%
Wrexham win
37%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.2
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
Middlesbrough clean sheet
31%
Wrexham clean sheet
35%
What stands out
Total goals 2.2
17% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Middlesbrough 1.1 scored / 1.5 conceded · Wrexham 1.1 / 1.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. Windass
Wrexham
33%
Shots
M. Whittaker
Middlesbrough
2
Middlesbrough · on target
M. Whittaker
Middlesbrough
1
Wrexham · on target
J. Windass
Wrexham
1
Middlesbrough · Recent form
- D3-3Espanyol
- L1-3Huddersfield
- D1-1Celtic
- L0-1Hull City
- L1-2Southampton
Wrexham · Recent form
- L0-1Sunderland
- L0-1Liverpool
- W3-2Leeds
- W1-0Manchester United
- D0-0Wisla Krakow
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Wrexham?
Golazo's model makes Wrexham the more likely winner at 37%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Middlesbrough vs Wrexham?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Wrexham?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 47%, and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.