Match preview
York vs Crawley Town: projection vs result
York
Crawley Town
0–2
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes York the more likely winner at 57%, against 17% for Crawley Town and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 47%. Behind that: York have scored in 0 of 1 league games this season, Crawley Town in 1 of 1. It finished York 0–2 Crawley Town.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
York win
57%
Draw
26%
Crawley Town win
17%
What we said, and what happened
3 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 2.5Actual 2Called
- Both teams scoreProjected 47%Actual NoCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 46%Actual NoCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.7 – 0.8
Total goals 2.5
Both teams score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
York clean sheet
44%
Crawley Town clean sheet
18%
What stands out
match.offsides 2.9
18% below a typical match · League average 3.5
York 1.6 + Crawley Town 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
York
At home- Scored in 0 of 1
When their goals arrive
Crawley Town
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
York · Recent form
- L0-2Crawley Town
- L1-2Peterborough
- D2-2Al-Ettifaq
- L1-5Sunderland
- L2-4Pickering Town
Crawley Town · Recent form
- W2-0York
- L0-1Reading
- L1-3Oxford United
- W1-0Eastleigh
- D0-0Salford City
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win York vs Crawley Town?
Golazo's model makes York the more likely winner at 57%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in York vs Crawley Town?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 13%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in York vs Crawley Town?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 47%, and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
More EFL Cup matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.