Match preview
Bristol City vs Walsall: projection vs result
Bristol City
Walsall
0–1
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Bristol City the more likely winner at 47%, against 22% for Walsall and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 41%. Behind that: Bristol City have scored in 1 of 2 league games this season, Walsall in 0 of 1. It finished Bristol City 0–1 Walsall.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Bristol City win
47%
Draw
31%
Walsall win
22%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 2.1Actual 1Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 41%Actual NoCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 35%Actual NoCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 0.8
Total goals 2.1
Both teams score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Over 1.5 goals
63%
Bristol City clean sheet
45%
Walsall clean sheet
28%
What stands out
Total goals 2.1
23% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Bristol City 1.1 scored / 1.3 conceded · Walsall 0.9 / 1.4 per game
Corners 12
20% above a typical match · League average 10
Bristol City win 6.6 per game, Walsall concede 7.3
match.offsides 2.9
16% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Bristol City 1.6 + Walsall 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
D. Kanu
Walsall
27%
Shots
D. Kanu
Walsall
2
Bristol City · on target
S. Armstrong
Bristol City
0.9
Walsall · on target
D. Kanu
Walsall
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Bristol City
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 1 of 2
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Walsall
Away- Scored in 0 of 1
Bristol City · Recent form
- L0-1Walsall
- D1-1Exeter City
- D0-0Plymouth
- W4-1Newcastle
- L2-3Forest Green
Walsall · Recent form
- W1-0Bristol City
- D0-0Notts County
- L0-1AFC Telford United
- L0-5Aston Villa
- D0-0Leamington
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Bristol City vs Walsall?
Golazo's model makes Bristol City the more likely winner at 47%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Bristol City vs Walsall?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 15%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Walsall?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 41%, and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
More EFL Cup matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.