Match preview
FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba prediction
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
FC Tokyo
2 in the table · 37 pts from 18
JEF United Chiba
10 in the table · 12 pts from 18
Fri, Aug 21, 06:30 AM
Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
The short answer
Golazo's model makes FC Tokyo the more likely winner at 63%, against 15% for JEF United Chiba and 23% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 52%. Behind that: FC Tokyo have scored in 15 of 20 league games this season, JEF United Chiba in 13 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
FC Tokyo win
63%
Draw
23%
JEF United Chiba win
15%
What our model expects
FC TokyoPer gameJEF United ChibaNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2 – 0.9
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
FC Tokyo clean sheet
41%
JEF United Chiba clean sheet
13%
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Marcelo Ryan
FC Tokyo
35%
Shots
Marcelo Ryan
FC Tokyo
2.6
FC Tokyo · on target
Marcelo Ryan
FC Tokyo
1.2
JEF United Chiba · on target
Carlinhos Júnior
JEF United Chiba
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
FC Tokyo
At home- 1.8
- pts/game
- 1.7
- scored
- 1.4
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 20
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
JEF United Chiba
Away- 0.4
- pts/game
- 1.1
- scored
- 1.9
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 20
- Clean sheet in 10%
When their goals arrive
FC Tokyo · Recent form
- D2-2Vissel Kobe
- L1-5Machida Zelvia
- L0-1Borussia Dortmund
- W2-1Nagoya Grampus
- L1-3Cerezo Osaka
JEF United Chiba · Recent form
- L0-4Machida Zelvia
- L0-3Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- D0-0Kashiwa Reysol
- L1-2Avispa Fukuoka
- D2-2Avispa Fukuoka
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba?
Golazo's model makes FC Tokyo the more likely winner at 63%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, at 11%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 52%, and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
More J1 League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.