Match preview
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
5 in the table · 28 pts from 18
Kashiwa Reysol
8 in the table · 20 pts from 18
Fri, Aug 14, 06:00 AM
Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Tokyo Verdy 36%, the draw 29%, Kashiwa Reysol 35%. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 55%. Behind that: Tokyo Verdy have scored in 15 of 20 league games this season, Kashiwa Reysol in 12 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Tokyo Verdy win
36%
Draw
29%
Kashiwa Reysol win
35%
What our model expects
Tokyo VerdyPer gameKashiwa ReysolNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.3
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Tokyo Verdy clean sheet
27%
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet
27%
What stands out
Cards 2.9
36% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Tokyo Verdy 1.4 + Kashiwa Reysol 1.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
T. Yoshida
Tokyo Verdy
31%
Shots
S. Teranuma
Tokyo Verdy
1.9
Tokyo Verdy · on target
H. Yamami
Tokyo Verdy
0.7
Kashiwa Reysol · on target
H. Yamauchi
Kashiwa Reysol
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Tokyo Verdy
At home- 2.1
- pts/game
- 1.4
- scored
- 1.6
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 20
- Clean sheet in 40%
When their goals arrive
Kashiwa Reysol
Away- 1.2
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 1.6
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 20
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
Tokyo Verdy · Recent form
- D1-1Kawasaki Frontale
- L2-4Gamba Osaka
- D1-1Gamba Osaka
- L0-6Yokohama F. Marinos
- W1-0Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol · Recent form
- W2-1Mito Hollyhock
- D0-0JEF United Chiba
- L0-1Kyoto Sanga
- W6-2Kyoto Sanga
- W4-2JEF United Chiba
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Tokyo Verdy 36%, the draw 29%, Kashiwa Reysol 35%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 55%, and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
More J1 League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.