Match preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC prediction
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Wed, Aug 19, 07:30 PM
TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: FC Cincinnati 40%, the draw 22%, New York City FC 38%. It projects 4.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%, and puts both teams scoring at 77%. Behind that: FC Cincinnati have scored in 16 of 18 league games this season, New York City FC in 15 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
FC Cincinnati win
40%
Draw
22%
New York City FC win
38%
What our model expects
FC CincinnatiPer gameNew York City FCNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.1 – 2
Total goals 4.1
Both teams score
77%
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
FC Cincinnati clean sheet
13%
New York City FC clean sheet
13%
What stands out
Total goals 4.1
52% above a typical match · League average 2.7
FC Cincinnati 2.4 scored / 2.4 conceded · New York City FC 1.6 / 1.4 per game
Corners 8.1
19% below a typical match · League average 10
FC Cincinnati win 4.8 per game, New York City FC concede 4.1
Cards 3.9
14% below a typical match · League average 4.5
FC Cincinnati 1.9 + New York City FC 2.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
N. Fernández Mercau
New York City FC
44%
Shots
Evander
FC Cincinnati
2.3
FC Cincinnati · on target
G. Valenzuela
FC Cincinnati
1.4
New York City FC · on target
N. Fernández Mercau
New York City FC
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
FC Cincinnati
At home- 2.11
- pts/game
- 3.11
- scored
- 2.11
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 18
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
New York City FC
Away- 1.38
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.13
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 18
- Clean sheet in 13%
When their goals arrive
FC Cincinnati · Recent form
- L1-2Atlas
- W2-0U.N.A.M. - Pumas
- W3-1CF Pachuca
- W4-2San Jose Earthquakes
- L1-2Columbus Crew
New York City FC · Recent form
- L1-2Necaxa
- L1-2Cruz Azul
- W2-0Santos Laguna
- D1-1Toronto FC
- W3-1Chicago Fire
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: FC Cincinnati 40%, the draw 22%, New York City FC 38%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 8%. The model projects 4.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 77%, and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
More MLS matches
- Orlando City SC vs FC CincinnatiAug 15
- Atlanta United FC vs New York Red BullsAug 15
- Charlotte vs Columbus CrewAug 15
- Toronto FC vs New England RevolutionAug 15
- CF Montreal vs DC UnitedAug 15
- Nashville SC vs Inter MiamiAug 15
- Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles GalaxyAug 15
- Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FCAug 15
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.