Match preview

Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction

Deportivo Riestra

15 in the table · 11 pts from 16

Estudiantes L.P.

1 in the table · 31 pts from 16

Sat, Aug 8, 01:45 PM

Estadio Guillermo Laza, Buenos Aires

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Estudiantes L.P. the more likely winner at 45%, against 25% for Deportivo Riestra and 30% for the draw. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 46%.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Deportivo Riestra win

25%

Draw

30%

Estudiantes L.P. win

45%

Most likely scorelines1114%0112%0012%

What our model expects

Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

0.9 1.3

Total goals 2.3

Both teams score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

Over 1.5 goals

68%

Deportivo Riestra clean sheet

26%

Estudiantes L.P. clean sheet

39%

What stands out

  • Total goals 2.3

    16% below a typical match · League average 2.7

    Deportivo Riestra 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded · Estudiantes L.P. 1.4 / 0.9 per game

  • Fouls 24.3

    16% above a typical match · League average 21

    Deportivo Riestra 12.4 + Estudiantes L.P. 11.9 per game

Corners

League average 5

Deportivo Riestra5.2
Estudiantes L.P.4.9

Cards

League average 2.25

Deportivo Riestra2.7
Estudiantes L.P.2.3

Shots

League average 12.5

Deportivo Riestra13.5
Estudiantes L.P.13.2

Possession

Deportivo Riestra45
Estudiantes L.P.55

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

A. Gaich

Estudiantes L.P.

25%

Shots

A. Gaich

Estudiantes L.P.

1.9

Deportivo Riestra · on target

N. Benegas

Deportivo Riestra

0.9

Estudiantes L.P. · on target

G. Carrillo

Estudiantes L.P.

1

Deportivo Riestra · Recent form

  • L0-1Barracas Central
  • L1-2Defensa Y Justicia
  • W3-0Boca Juniors
  • D1-1San Lorenzo
  • D1-1Palestino

Estudiantes L.P. · Recent form

  • W3-0Defensa Y Justicia
  • L0-2Independiente
  • W3-0Rosario Central
  • W1-0Independiente Medellin
  • L0-1Flamengo

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Golazo's model makes Estudiantes L.P. the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes L.P.?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 46%, and over 2.5 goals at 40%.

More Liga Profesional matches

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.