Match preview

DC United vs New England Revolution prediction

DC United
v
New England Revolution
372835
DC UnitedDrawNew England Revolution
Goals expectedBoth teams score57%Over 2.5 goals52%Total goals2.8
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

DC United

New England Revolution

Wed, Aug 19, 07:30 PM

Audi Field, Washington

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: DC United 37%, the draw 28%, New England Revolution 35%. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 57%. Behind that: DC United have scored in 13 of 18 league games this season, New England Revolution in 13 of 18.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

DC United win

37%

Draw

28%

New England Revolution win

35%

Most likely scorelines1113%218%128%

What our model expects

DC UnitedPer gameNew England Revolution
DWDDDLast 5LDWD
1.33Points per game0.71
1.7Scored1.0
6.2Corners5.0
14.5Shots12.2
46Possession54
2.1Conceded1.9
2.1Cards2.0
1.4Expected goals1.4

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.4 1.4

Total goals 2.8

Both teams score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

Over 1.5 goals

77%

DC United clean sheet

26%

New England Revolution clean sheet

25%

Corners

League average 5

DC United6.2
New England Revolution5

Cards

League average 2.25

DC United2.1
New England Revolution2

Shots

League average 12.5

DC United14.5
New England Revolution12.2

Possession

DC United46
New England Revolution54

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

T. Baribo

DC United

35%

Shots

L. Munteanu

DC United

2.5

DC United · on target

L. Munteanu

DC United

1.3

New England Revolution · on target

P. Miller

New England Revolution

0.8

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

DC United

At home
1.33
pts/game
1.67
scored
2.11
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 18
  • Clean sheet in 11%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

New England Revolution

Away
0.71
pts/game
1
scored
1.86
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 18
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

DC United · Recent form

  • D2-2Nashville SC
  • W2-1Toronto FC
  • D1-1Houston Dynamo
  • D4-4CF Montreal
  • D1-1St. Louis City

New England Revolution · Recent form

  • L0-2Houston Dynamo
  • D2-2CF Montreal
  • W4-1Atlanta United FC
  • D0-0Toronto FC

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win DC United vs New England Revolution?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: DC United 37%, the draw 28%, New England Revolution 35%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in DC United vs New England Revolution?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in DC United vs New England Revolution?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 57%, and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

More MLS matches

All MLS fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.