Match preview
D. La Serena vs Cobresal prediction
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
12 in the table · 23 pts from 19
Cobresal
15 in the table · 17 pts from 19
Sun, Aug 23, 12:00 PM
Estadio La Portada, La Serena
The short answer
Golazo's model makes D. La Serena the more likely winner at 54%, against 23% for Cobresal and 23% for the draw. It projects 3.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 64%. Behind that: D. La Serena have scored in 15 of 19 league games this season, Cobresal in 13 of 19.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
D. La Serena win
54%
Draw
23%
Cobresal win
23%
What our model expects
D. La SerenaPer gameCobresalNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.1 – 1.3
Total goals 3.4
Both teams score
64%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
D. La Serena clean sheet
27%
Cobresal clean sheet
13%
What stands out
Total goals 3.4
24% above a typical match · League average 2.7
D. La Serena 1.4 scored / 1.9 conceded · Cobresal 0.9 / 1.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
F. Frías
Cobresal
37%
Shots
S. Pino
Cobresal
2.6
D. La Serena · on target
F. Chamorro
D. La Serena
0.9
Cobresal · on target
F. Frías
Cobresal
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
D. La Serena
At home- 1.33
- pts/game
- 1.56
- scored
- 1.22
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 19
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Cobresal
Away- 0.2
- pts/game
- 1.1
- scored
- 2.5
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 19
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
D. La Serena · Recent form
- W2-0Universidad de Concepcion
- D1-1Coquimbo Unido
- L1-2O'Higgins
- D3-3U. Catolica
- L0-1Cobreloa
Cobresal · Recent form
- L0-2Concepción
- L0-2U. Catolica
- W4-0Union La Calera
- D3-3Huachipato
- L0-1Antofagasta
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win D. La Serena vs Cobresal?
Golazo's model makes D. La Serena the more likely winner at 54%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in D. La Serena vs Cobresal?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in D. La Serena vs Cobresal?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 64%, and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
More Primera División (Chile) matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.