Match preview
Cuiaba vs Goias prediction
Cuiaba
Goias
Cuiaba
14 in the table · 29 pts from 22
Goias
10 in the table · 32 pts from 22
Sat, Aug 22, 05:30 PM
Arena Pantanal
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Cuiaba the more likely winner at 43%, against 23% for Goias and 34% for the draw. It projects 1.9 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%, and puts both teams scoring at 37%. Behind that: Cuiaba have scored in 12 of 22 league games this season, Goias in 15 of 22.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Cuiaba win
43%
Draw
34%
Goias win
23%
What our model expects
CuiabaPer gameGoiasNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 0.8
Total goals 1.9
Both teams score
37%
Over 2.5 goals
29%
Over 1.5 goals
57%
Cuiaba clean sheet
47%
Goias clean sheet
33%
What stands out
Total goals 1.9
31% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Cuiaba 1.1 scored / 1.1 conceded · Goias 1.0 / 1.2 per game
Fouls 23.7
13% above a typical match · League average 21
Cuiaba 12.5 + Goias 11.2 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Kadu
Goias
23%
Shots
Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
2
Cuiaba · on target
Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
1
Goias · on target
E. García
Goias
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Cuiaba
At home- 1.36
- pts/game
- 0.82
- scored
- 0.73
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 22
- Clean sheet in 45%
When their goals arrive
Goias
Away- 1.08
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.33
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 22
- Clean sheet in 17%
When their goals arrive
Cuiaba · Recent form
- W3-1Ceara
- D1-1Fortaleza EC
- D1-1Sport Recife
- L0-1Atletico Goianiense
- L0-2Juventude
Goias · Recent form
- L0-1Juventude
- L0-1Criciuma
- W1-0Londrina
- L0-1America Mineiro
- D1-1Sport Recife
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Cuiaba vs Goias?
Golazo's model makes Cuiaba the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 34%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Cuiaba vs Goias?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 17%. The model projects 1.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Cuiaba vs Goias?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 37%, and over 2.5 goals at 29%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.