Match preview
Crewe vs Accrington ST prediction
Crewe
Accrington ST
Sat, Aug 8, 10:00 AM
Alexandra Stadium, Crewe
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Crewe the more likely winner at 50%, against 20% for Accrington ST and 30% for the draw. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 43%. Behind that: Crewe have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Accrington ST in 2 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Crewe win
50%
Draw
30%
Accrington ST win
20%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 0.8
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Over 1.5 goals
66%
Crewe clean sheet
45%
Accrington ST clean sheet
25%
What stands out
Total goals 2.2
18% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Crewe 1.3 scored / 1.3 conceded · Accrington ST 0.9 / 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
E. Tezgel
Crewe
39%
Shots
E. Tezgel
Crewe
2.1
Crewe · on target
E. Tezgel
Crewe
1.1
Accrington ST · on target
J. Woods
Accrington ST
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Crewe
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Accrington ST
Away- Scored in 2 of 3
When their goals arrive
Crewe · Recent form
- D0-0Chester
- L1-2Birmingham
- W3-0AFC Telford United
- D1-1Stoke City
- W3-2Witton Albion
Accrington ST · Recent form
- D0-0Sheffield Wednesday
- W1-0Bury
- W3-0Chorley
- W1-0Bradford
- D0-0Blackburn
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Crewe vs Accrington ST?
Golazo's model makes Crewe the more likely winner at 50%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Crewe vs Accrington ST?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 14%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Crewe vs Accrington ST?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 43%, and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
More EFL Cup matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.