Match preview
Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido prediction
Concepción
Coquimbo Unido
Concepción
7 in the table · 26 pts from 19
Coquimbo Unido
8 in the table · 25 pts from 17
Sun, Aug 23, 12:00 PM
Estadio Ester Roa
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Concepción 35%, the draw 31%, Coquimbo Unido 34%. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 48%. Behind that: Concepción have scored in 13 of 19 league games this season, Coquimbo Unido in 13 of 17.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Concepción win
35%
Draw
31%
Coquimbo Unido win
34%
What our model expects
ConcepciónPer gameCoquimbo UnidoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.1
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Concepción clean sheet
32%
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet
31%
What stands out
Total goals 2.3
15% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Concepción 1.5 scored / 1.1 conceded · Coquimbo Unido 1.3 / 0.8 per game
Cards 5.1
12% above a typical match · League average 4.5
Concepción 2.6 + Coquimbo Unido 2.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
N. Johansen
Coquimbo Unido
26%
Shots
L. Riveros
Coquimbo Unido
1.7
Concepción · on target
J. Larrivey
Concepción
0.8
Coquimbo Unido · on target
N. Johansen
Coquimbo Unido
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Concepción
At home- 1.7
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 1.1
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 19
- Clean sheet in 40%
When their goals arrive
Coquimbo Unido
Away- 1.44
- pts/game
- 1.44
- scored
- 1.56
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 17
- Clean sheet in 11%
When their goals arrive
Concepción · Recent form
- W2-0Cobresal
- W1-0Universidad de Concepcion
- W3-0U. Catolica
- W2-0O'Higgins
- W2-0D. Puerto Montt
Coquimbo Unido · Recent form
- D1-1Platense
- D1-1D. La Serena
- W1-0San Marcos de Arica
- L1-2Palestino
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Concepción 35%, the draw 31%, Coquimbo Unido 34%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 48%, and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
More Primera División (Chile) matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.