Match preview

Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal prediction

Columbus Crew
v
CF Montreal
492625
Columbus CrewDrawCF Montreal
Goals expectedBoth teams score58%Over 2.5 goals55%Total goals2.9
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Columbus Crew

CF Montreal

Wed, Aug 19, 07:30 PM

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Columbus Crew the more likely winner at 49%, against 25% for CF Montreal and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 58%. Behind that: Columbus Crew have scored in 15 of 18 league games this season, CF Montreal in 11 of 18.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Columbus Crew win

49%

Draw

26%

CF Montreal win

25%

Most likely scorelines1112%2110%109%

What our model expects

Columbus CrewPer gameCF Montreal
DWWDWLast 5DLLDW
1.56Points per game0.44
1.0Conceded2.8
1.7Expected goals1.2
2.1Cards1.5
5.0Corners4.6
52Possession48
11.8Shots11.4
1.3Scored1.3

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.7 1.2

Total goals 2.9

Both teams score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

Over 1.5 goals

79%

Columbus Crew clean sheet

31%

CF Montreal clean sheet

18%

What stands out

  • Cards 3.6

    20% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    Columbus Crew 2.1 + CF Montreal 1.5 per game

Corners

League average 5

Columbus Crew5
CF Montreal4.6

Cards

League average 2.25

Columbus Crew2.1
CF Montreal1.5

Shots

League average 12.5

Columbus Crew11.8
CF Montreal11.4

Possession

Columbus Crew52
CF Montreal48

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

P. Owusu

CF Montreal

25%

Shots

H. Synchuk

CF Montreal

2.1

Columbus Crew · on target

W. Abou Ali

Columbus Crew

0.9

CF Montreal · on target

H. Synchuk

CF Montreal

1.1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Columbus Crew

At home
1.56
pts/game
1.33
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 15 of 18
  • Clean sheet in 33%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

CF Montreal

Away
0.44
pts/game
1.33
scored
2.78
conceded
  • Scored in 11 of 18
  • Clean sheet in 11%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Columbus Crew · Recent form

  • D1-1U.N.A.M. - Pumas
  • W2-1CF Pachuca
  • W3-1Atlas
  • D2-2Inter Miami
  • W2-1FC Cincinnati

CF Montreal · Recent form

  • D2-2New England Revolution
  • L0-1Inter Miami
  • L0-1Nashville SC
  • D0-0Toronto FC
  • W2-1Vancouver FC

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal?

Golazo's model makes Columbus Crew the more likely winner at 49%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.